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‘We think we’re in the early stages of a bull market’: Strategist

August 27th 2020 - The S&P 500 stock market index closed at an all-time high on Thursday, August 27, 2020 after The Federal Reserve signaled it will continue to stimulate the economy. - File Photo by: zz/STRF/STAR MAX/IPx 2020 6/14/20 Atmosphere in and around Wall Street and The New York Stock Exchange in the Financial District of Lower Manhattan, New York City on June 14, 2020 during the coronavirus pandemic amid the aftermath of protests, demonstrations, riots, vandalism and destruction of property in response to the death of George Floyd who died while being arrested by police officers in Minneapolis, Minnesota on May 25th. Here, The Charging Bull bronze sculpture located on Broadway just north of Bowling Green is restored after protesters covered it with fake blood. (NYC)

Increased volatility ahead of the elections and last week’s market selloff are opportunities to “lean into that weakness,” says one strategist.

“We think we’re in the early stages of an economic cycle, and we think we’re in the early stages of a bull market,” Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist/Suntrust Advisory told Yahoo Finance.

On Monday, the markets rallied following the worst weekly loss for the S&P 500 (^GSPC) since March. Big cap stocks like Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB) tried to recover some of their losses from Friday, but dipped into the red again during Monday’s session.

“The VIX (^VIX) ended the month at 38, that’s double the level from the last two elections as well. So I think it’s just, as we get closer to the election, that anxiety is building up quite a bit,” said Lerner.

He also highlighted anxiety over rising COVID-19 cases, which have prompted renewed lockdowns in Europe recently.

“Volatility doesn’t always have to be a negative,” said Lerner. “What we’ve been telling our investors into October, but even if the next few weeks are a bit choppy, is to lean into that uncertainty.”

Lerner says that earlier this year his strategy was to steer toward growth sectors. Now it is more a “barbell approach between growth and more of the cyclical names.” Specifically, material and industrial stocks.

“I will say that in general, you’re seeing more of a cyclical tone, even on a Friday when the markets sold off,” said Lerner.

“One area that we just recently added to our global exchange-traded portfolio was the regional banks, which have been really beat up and trading at about a 40% discount to the overall market. And you are seeing improved earnings and relative price trends,” he said.

As for severely beaten up stocks, such as airlines, Lerner said, “We’re not there quite on the airlines as of yet.”

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